Num. Contratto:
776868

Coordinatore: UNIV. EAST ANGLIA (Regno Unito)

Responsabile ENEA: PETITTA MARCELLO - SSPT-MET-CLIM (CASACCIA)

Ruolo ENEA: PARTNER

Sito Web: http://www.secli-firm.eu

Programma Quadro: HORIZON 2020

Programma UE: Climate Action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials - Climate Action, Environment, Resource Efficiency and Raw Materials

Area Tematica: Environment - climate change

Tipo Progetto: RIA - Research and Innovation Action

Descrizione:

The central objective of SECLI-FIRM is to demonstrate how the use of improved climate forecasts, out to several months ahead, can add practical and economic value to decision-making processes and outcomes, primarily in the energy sector, but also in the water sector. Specifically for the energy sector, SECLI-CLIM will assess the impact on operational planning and portfolio management, such as hedging and asset optimization, thus enabling quantification of the value-add provided by seasonal forecasts which have been calibrated, evaluated and tailored for each specific application. Improvements in management decisions will ultimately lead to an improved supply-demand balance and therefore to a more efficient energy system, particularly with respect to renewable energy, with corresponding benefits for climate change mitigation. A simple, but effective, methodology will be used to assess value added. A control case will only utilise climatological conditions based on historical averaged values – currently the most common approach – while a test case will also consider individually optimised and tailored state-of-the-art probabilistic seasonal forecasts. This will be done for nine case studies for Europe and South America: recent seasons with anomalous/extreme climate conditions leading to problematic and quantifiable impacts for the energy and/or water industry. Crucially for success, the case studies will be co-designed by industrial and research partners. These case studies will provide the basis for developing pilot climate services for a number of specific applications, allowing evaluation of the added value of near real-time information for decision making. Thus SECLI-FIRM will promote research advances in the optimization of seasonal forecasts for specific applications (e.g. by evaluating both local processes and large-scale teleconnections), as well as promoting the uptake of seasonal forecasts by industry and hence expansion of the climate services market.

Attività svolta da ENEA:

L'ENEA si occupa delle tecniche di downscaling statistico per i casi di studio e dell'individuazione di eventi estremi.

Note:

amendment 2021 proroga scadenza

Posizione:
1511

Codice Atto:
PS2AAL

Atto di approvazione ENEA:
201/2017/SSPT-MET

Unità alla stipula:
SSPT-MET-CLIM

Costo eleggibile del Progetto: 4.638.500,00

Contributo al Progetto: 4.638.500,00

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Costo eleggibile per ENEA: 240.250,00

Contributo ad ENEA: 238.325,00

Anno di stipula:
2018

Durata in mesi:
45

Data di inizio:
01-02-2018

Data di scadenza:
31-10-2021